“Nothing is more dangerous than an idea, when it’s the only one we have.”
– Alain Emile Chartier
Ironically, Johnny was now ready to
consider the same mass-marketing tactics he and his partners shunned when
starting the Bullfrog Card. He felt they had no alternative. Rather than
using a grassroots approach, campus by campus, he considered buying leads
from a mailing list company. For example, a list of the names and addresses
of high school seniors was for sale from national marketing firms for as
little as 10 cents per name. If they used a mass marketing approach, the
company would lose any campus-specific branding, but they would reach a lot
more students faster. It was a tradeoff that Johnny was now willing to
make.
University Services Inc. could also
partner with VISA and use their national merchant networks. It was possible
to restrict the types of merchants that could accept a product like the
Bullfrog Card by SIC code. If a student tried to use his card at a
non-restaurant like a liquor store, music store, etc., the transaction would
be declined. It wasn’t a customized merchant base like the Bullfrog Card
system, but it would give them a national presence by allowing them to
choose from the merchants that already accepted VISA.
A national version of the Bullfrog
Card went against many of the tenets Johnny and his partners preached when
they started their business. It was generic and it lacked a campus feel.
Somehow, Johnny was now able to rationalize these concerns away. It sounded
nuts, but he thought maybe a national program was crazy enough to work.
As a young entrepreneur, Johnny was
at odds with himself. He was too proud to give up the business, but he
wasn’t sure how much longer he could commit without seeing more significant
progress. He was ready to throw the Hail Mary pass. Whether it worked or
it didn’t, he was about to create a very binary outcome for his company
whereby they would either succeed or fail quickly. Sometimes, the most
difficult thing about being a good entrepreneur is keeping your
objectivity. Unfortunately, Johnny was beginning to lose his.
Maverock was resistant to the
national card program at first. He had invested so much time developing
relationships at individual campuses that he was reluctant to give it up.
Johnny tried to convince Maverock they weren’t walking away from anything.
They were just expanding their focus. Abe was surprisingly easy to
convince. And so, the three partners agreed to explore this new approach,
which they dubbed the “College Card.”
Maverock called various mailing
list companies and confirmed they could purchase the list of student names
and addresses for 10 cents each or $180,000. The printing costs for the
brochures and letters were equally expensive. In such bulk quantities, they
could have a direct mail campaign printed for another $180,000. That was not
to mention the cost of postage. If they kept the weight of the mailing down
to a minimum and pre-sorted, it would cost an additional $400,000 in mailing
costs. After adding in the projected costs of new office space, employees,
and equipment needed to process the applications, the total investment to
start the program was about $1million.
It was a far cry from the $40,000
they had initially invested in the Bullfrog Card. Johnny and his partners
were not easily daunted and they assumed they could raise the money. Johnny
chalked up the setbacks with their earlier expansion plans as bumps in the
road. He and his partners had no reason to believe they couldn’t accomplish
anything they put their minds to doing.
Before they could raise new money,
Johnny and his partners needed to revise their business plan.
Unfortunately, there was a huge trade off from working with VISA. It was
great on the one hand that they didn’t need to travel the country recruiting
merchants and leasing their own equipment. However, they would be earning a
lot less money per transaction. Instead of earning over 10% per
transaction, the company would earn approximately 1.5%. Although VISA
usually charged as much as 3% per transaction, the company had to split it
with a banking partner to be able to use the VISA system.
As a result, Johnny and his
partners tried to devise ways to increase the dollars spent per student on
the card. Although they wanted to maintain their “restaurant meal plan”
focus, like the Bullfrog Card, the “meals, books, and campus expenses”
marketing approach would enable the College Card to be used for larger
purchases like textbooks. Books were among the biggest ticket items
purchased by students, so Johnny and his partners wanted them purchased with
their card.
After some brainstorming, the
partners took the idea a step further. What if they opened their own
bookstore and shipped the textbooks to students at wholesale prices? It was
a random idea that sounded far-fetched, but they already knew another
student business at their alma mater called Campus Books that had
successfully entered the textbook market. So, they knew it was possible to
open their own bookstore and source the textbooks.
They did some research and found if
they used their web site as the interface for a bookstore, students could do
an online query for textbooks, place an order through them, and Johnny and
his partners could source the books from wholesalers. The student simply
needed to pay the wholesale cost of the books and any additional shipping
and handling costs. The company would ship out the textbooks at wholesale
prices without any additional markup. On average, they figured the books
would be discounted by 32% from typical retail prices.
By offering their own on-line
bookstore, Johnny and his partners wanted to accomplish two things. First,
they hoped it would generate a buzz about their services. It was an amazing
benefit for students, so they planned to use the bookstore as a promotional
tool to attract more cardholders and to promote their website. Second, they
could make it a requirement that the textbooks be purchased with the College
Card. Therefore, they would at least earn the transaction fee from the use
of their card.
As it stood, Johnny and his
partners were offering an alternative restaurant meal plan, a student
discount card, and an alternative bookstore. They began calling this
collection of services the “College Pack” and they formed a new company for
the business, which they named "University Financial Services." As they
continued to brainstorm new ideas, they also planned to offer scholarships
and writing competitions through their website. They hoped that once the
program got a certain threshold of popularity, it would take on a life of
its own.
The partners were painfully aware
that life on college campuses was seasonal. It was early February and
Johnny was adamant they needed to be ready for an August launch of their new
product. Working backwards, the mailing campaign needed to be done by May,
which meant they had given themselves a mere four months to get everything
set-up.
Unfortunately, Johnny and his
partners were glossing over their biggest risk. It was impossible to gauge
how each university would react to their plans. There was no doubt they
would be ruffling some feathers. After all, the Bullfrog Card had some
significant backlash from the university when it started.
Johnny and his partners estimated
that less than 100 schools planned to establish off-campus card systems of
their own. Of the 4,100 colleges and universities in the US, that
represented less than 2.5% of the total market. That’s how Johnny estimated
his risk. The partners assumed they would immediately lose 100 schools, but
the remaining 97.5% of the market would be friendly to them.
Johnny and his partners were
willing to lose 2.5% of the market. Unfortunately, the mailing list they
would be purchasing didn’t identify which schools the high school students
were attending. Therefore, there was no way to avoid targeting students at
the 100 schools that were likely to be unhappy. From their experiences with
the Bullfrog Card, once these schools heard about the new product, they
might put warnings in the mailboxes of incoming freshmen advising students
not to participate in the program. There could also be a negative article in
the school newspaper.
Without an on-campus presence,
Johnny and his partners wouldn’t be able to defend their company.
Nevertheless, they reasoned that 2.5% of the market was a small piece of the
pie that would be dropped on the floor. They couldn’t complain because they
still had 97.5% of the pie to themselves. Over 4,000 schools remained from
which they could build their customer base, customize their services, and
dominate the industry. As a result, Johnny was ecstatic when he sat back
and imagined the possibilities for their company. Unfortunately, Johnny
didn’t realize how much trouble 100 angry schools could make for him.